Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.100545 1.332382 1.628554 2.046754 2.643816 3.504421e+00 4.923997
2025-11-30 0.813400 1.077175 1.466976 2.130167 3.347994 5.832844e+00 12.875286
2025-12-07 0.654094 0.913016 1.331372 2.138217 3.933767 8.983271e+00 38.249521
2025-12-14 0.546682 0.789299 1.205116 2.080969 4.342844 1.289139e+01 160.703672
2025-12-21 0.476459 0.706497 1.119948 2.058190 4.835049 1.931840e+01 12697.513455
2025-12-28 0.444210 0.679594 1.127435 2.243525 6.228801 4.292223e+01 NaN
2026-01-04 0.410386 0.642515 1.103535 2.340907 7.547026 1.049076e+02 NaN
2026-01-11 0.375427 0.597051 1.050391 2.333247 8.462012 2.731467e+02 NaN
2026-01-18 0.342319 0.550156 0.983911 2.257472 8.943721 8.039211e+02 NaN
2026-01-25 0.321140 0.523491 0.957489 2.299126 10.407233 2.836649e+06 NaN
2026-02-01 0.305957 0.506550 0.950010 2.404180 12.885111 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.287432 0.480444 0.915246 2.395723 14.454857 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.267027 0.448806 0.862806 2.304205 14.979111 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.256637 0.437118 0.859236 2.412543 19.193437 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.243793 0.418764 0.835032 2.423673 22.358982 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.229718 0.396395 0.796627 2.355173 23.723422 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.218351 0.378943 0.769091 2.327905 26.413832 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.215052 0.378919 0.789650 2.550829 42.200006 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.208907 0.371853 0.789008 2.668636 60.924373 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.200295 0.358372 0.767481 2.659352 73.744645 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.190614 0.341705 0.734312 2.567673 77.026164 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.184660 0.333253 0.724870 2.618036 106.975049 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.180542 0.328748 0.726850 2.745424 190.354458 NaN NaN